Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.6%). Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.9% vs Little 49.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Little leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 62.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 69.5%
Neutral zone
Little 54.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Henrique
Little
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Henrique
Little
Last 10: Henrique 2-8 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
0
2
Henrique
Little
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
0
4
Henrique
Little
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
2
3
Henrique
Little
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Little
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (816)
49.8% (1,089)
-1.8%
Power Play
54.8% (62)
51.4% (218)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (127)
45.6% (149)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Henrique is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Henrique shoots left. Little is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (985).
Home / Away
Henrique
Little
Home
51.2% (461)
52.9% (681)
Away
46.9% (565)
46.7% (798)
By Period
Henrique
Little
P1
49.5%
49.9%
P2
48.5%
49.2%
P3
49.1%
49.7%
OT
22.2%
48.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.8%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 13:13 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 11:45 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |