Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Froese 45.6% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Froese 56.2%
Defensive zone
Froese 64.5%
Neutral zone
Froese 63.0%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Henrique
Froese
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Henrique
Froese
Last 5: Henrique 1-4 Froese
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
1
4
Henrique
Froese
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Froese
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (801)
47.0% (298)
+0.8%
Power Play
58.1% (124)
50.0% (2)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (130)
28.8% (52)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Froese shoots right. Henrique is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Henrique shoots left. Froese is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Henrique
Froese
Home
50.0% (506)
47.8% (159)
Away
46.4% (549)
41.5% (193)
By Period
Henrique
Froese
P1
47.6%
41.2%
P2
50.1%
42.9%
P3
47.9%
49.5%
OT
23.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 08:17 | Neutral | Byron Froese |