Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 49.1% vs Kelly 56.2% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 78.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 59.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 61.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Henrique
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Henrique
Kelly
Last 7: Henrique 2-5 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Kelly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
4
Henrique
Kelly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Henrique
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (509)
58.7% (298)
-7.8%
Power Play
46.4% (97)
100.0% (8)
-53.6%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
49.3% (67)
-10.1%
On power play, Kelly has a +53.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Henrique is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (416).
Henrique shoots left. Kelly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Henrique
Kelly
Home
49.4% (326)
60.0% (200)
Away
48.6% (354)
55.5% (173)
By Period
Henrique
Kelly
P1
50.2%
55.9%
P2
53.4%
58.4%
P3
44.2%
60.9%
OT
40.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
45.0%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.0%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 04:51 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |