Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Tierney 49.1% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 24-24 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 58.4%
Defensive zone
Tierney 58.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 52.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Henrique
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
24
(48 meetings)
24
24
Henrique
Tierney
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
10
7
Henrique
Tierney
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
5
13
Henrique
Tierney
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
9
4
Henrique
Tierney
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
49.3% (5,342)
+1.5%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
52.3% (342)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
46.6% (857)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Home / Away
Henrique
Tierney
Home
52.5% (6,418)
50.6% (3,270)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
47.7% (3,271)
By Period
Henrique
Tierney
P1
50.6%
49.3%
P2
51.4%
47.7%
P3
50.2%
50.5%
OT
40.6%
47.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | OT | 00:28 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |