Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Tierney 51.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 59.2%
Defensive zone
Tierney 80.9%
Neutral zone
Tierney 59.8%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Henrique
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Henrique
Tierney
Last 7: Henrique 2-5 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Tierney
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
0
4
Henrique
Tierney
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Tierney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
51.2% (767)
+2.3%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
50.7% (73)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
51.1% (178)
-0.2%
On power play, Henrique has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Henrique is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Henrique shoots left. Tierney is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Henrique
Tierney
Home
57.4% (467)
48.6% (552)
Away
52.7% (463)
54.3% (466)
By Period
Henrique
Tierney
P1
55.4%
51.3%
P2
56.7%
46.5%
P3
54.0%
55.3%
OT
22.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | OT | 00:28 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |