Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Winnik on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Winnik 44.3% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Winnik 66.9%
Defensive zone
Winnik 60.1%
Neutral zone
Winnik 67.1%
Result
Daniel Winnik favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Henrique
Winnik
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Henrique
Winnik
Last 8: Henrique 3-5 Winnik
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Winnik
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
0
1
Henrique
Winnik
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winnik
2
3
Henrique
Winnik
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Winnik
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,465)
45.9% (588)
+4.8%
Power Play
54.5% (1,760)
62.5% (16)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,794)
37.1% (248)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Winnik shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,431).
Henrique shoots left. Winnik is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Home / Away
Henrique
Winnik
Home
52.5% (6,376)
48.5% (406)
Away
48.8% (6,666)
39.2% (446)
By Period
Henrique
Winnik
P1
50.6%
48.8%
P2
51.4%
40.6%
P3
50.2%
42.8%
OT
40.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
50.6%
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2018 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 17:55 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 20, 2013 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 20, 2013 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 20, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 20, 2013 | 1 | 02:55 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 20, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |