Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.3% vs 43.4%). Look for Winnik on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Winnik shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 44.9% vs Winnik 45.6% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Winnik 60.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 50.6%
Neutral zone
Winnik 52.9%
Result
Daniel Winnik favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Henrique
Winnik
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Henrique
Winnik
Last 5: Henrique 1-4 Winnik
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
0
1
Henrique
Winnik
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winnik
1
3
Henrique
Winnik
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Winnik
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (656)
45.1% (162)
-1.3%
Power Play
44.7% (152)
60.0% (5)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (110)
31.0% (29)
+16.3%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Winnik shoots left. Henrique is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Henrique shoots left. Winnik is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Henrique
Winnik
Home
45.3% (422)
55.9% (93)
Away
43.5% (496)
32.0% (103)
By Period
Henrique
Winnik
P1
44.3%
45.6%
P2
44.1%
42.2%
P3
45.5%
42.6%
OT
26.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.3%
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2013 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 20, 2013 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 20, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 20, 2013 | 1 | 02:55 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 20, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |