Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 44.9% vs Backes 51.6% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 77.1%
Defensive zone
Backes 81.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 74.5%
Result
David Backes favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Henrique
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Henrique
Backes
Last 7: Henrique 5-2 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Backes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Backes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Backes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (656)
51.3% (861)
-7.5%
Power Play
44.7% (152)
50.0% (176)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (110)
55.5% (164)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Henrique is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Henrique shoots left. Backes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Henrique
Backes
Home
45.3% (422)
53.3% (599)
Away
43.5% (496)
50.2% (602)
By Period
Henrique
Backes
P1
44.3%
53.5%
P2
44.1%
50.3%
P3
45.5%
51.5%
OT
26.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.3%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |