Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 52.5% vs Backes 55.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 64.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 65.7%
Neutral zone
Henrique 66.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Henrique
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Henrique
Backes
Last 10: Henrique 3-7 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
3
Henrique
Backes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
3
Henrique
Backes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Backes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (818)
55.7% (228)
-2.8%
Power Play
49.7% (163)
65.2% (66)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (101)
40.0% (15)
+15.4%
On power play, Backes has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Henrique is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Henrique shoots left. Backes is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Henrique
Backes
Home
55.3% (571)
55.9% (188)
Away
49.8% (512)
58.7% (121)
By Period
Henrique
Backes
P1
53.3%
53.0%
P2
52.4%
56.6%
P3
52.4%
60.8%
Final 5 min
52.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.7%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | David Backes |