Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs MacKenzie 50.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 60.7%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 78.0%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 57.3%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Henrique
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Henrique
MacKenzie
Last 6: Henrique 4-2 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
0
Henrique
MacKenzie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
2
Henrique
MacKenzie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (917)
52.5% (564)
-4.8%
Power Play
54.4% (149)
77.8% (9)
-23.4%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (148)
41.7% (199)
+3.6%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Henrique is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Henrique shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Henrique
MacKenzie
Home
49.9% (567)
52.7% (404)
Away
46.7% (647)
47.0% (368)
By Period
Henrique
MacKenzie
P1
49.7%
50.0%
P2
45.3%
50.0%
P3
50.6%
49.4%
OT
31.8%
80.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2017 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 02:35 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |