Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Brassard 52.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 53.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 55.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 60.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Henrique
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Henrique
Brassard
Last 9: Henrique 5-4 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
3
Henrique
Brassard
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Brassard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Brassard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (445)
53.3% (368)
+1.3%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
50.0% (62)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
40.0% (5)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Henrique is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Henrique shoots left. Brassard is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Henrique
Brassard
Home
58.1% (310)
52.6% (247)
Away
51.9% (237)
52.7% (188)
By Period
Henrique
Brassard
P1
56.1%
52.5%
P2
53.6%
56.6%
P3
55.7%
49.0%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.4%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 05:35 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 04:29 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 16:58 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |