Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Rodrigues 47.6% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 94.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 76.7%
Neutral zone
Henrique 89.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 89.5%
89.5%
10.5%
Henrique
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Henrique
Rodrigues
Last 8: Henrique 7-1 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
0
Henrique
Rodrigues
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Rodrigues
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
46.4% (224)
+7.1%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
50.0% (8)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
48.0% (25)
+2.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Henrique is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Henrique shoots left. Rodrigues is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Henrique
Rodrigues
Home
57.4% (467)
46.2% (130)
Away
52.7% (463)
47.2% (127)
By Period
Henrique
Rodrigues
P1
55.4%
50.0%
P2
56.7%
46.8%
P3
54.0%
43.2%
OT
22.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |