Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.7% vs McClement 55.0% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 51.2%
Defensive zone
McClement 79.5%
Neutral zone
McClement 58.0%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Henrique
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
McClement
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
0
Henrique
McClement
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
1
Henrique
McClement
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (358)
57.1% (714)
-3.7%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
51.4% (37)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (94)
51.0% (239)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, McClement has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Henrique is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Henrique shoots left. McClement is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Henrique
McClement
Home
53.9% (245)
55.8% (475)
Away
50.4% (274)
55.1% (515)
By Period
Henrique
McClement
P1
52.8%
55.6%
P2
56.5%
57.3%
P3
46.1%
53.2%
OT
58.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.0%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |