Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Thornton 54.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 26-14 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 68.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 70.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 69.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Henrique
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
26
(40 meetings)
14
26
Henrique
Thornton
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
8
12
Henrique
Thornton
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
9
Henrique
Thornton
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
5
Henrique
Thornton
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
53.5% (6,640)
-2.7%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
57.2% (1,387)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
56.7% (427)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Henrique
Thornton
Home
52.5% (6,418)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Henrique
Thornton
P1
50.6%
55.0%
P2
51.4%
53.3%
P3
50.2%
54.4%
OT
40.6%
56.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 19:08 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 22, 2019 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 22, 2019 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 22, 2019 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |