Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Henrique wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 45.0% vs Thornton 52.6% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 82.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 81.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 78.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Henrique
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Henrique
Thornton
Last 10: Henrique 1-9 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
6
Henrique
Thornton
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
3
Henrique
Thornton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
3
Henrique
Thornton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (1,023)
51.8% (577)
-7.3%
Power Play
47.4% (173)
57.7% (168)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (185)
37.5% (8)
+5.7%
On power play, Thornton has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Henrique is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Henrique shoots left. Thornton is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Henrique
Thornton
Home
46.9% (680)
53.0% (379)
Away
42.5% (701)
52.9% (374)
By Period
Henrique
Thornton
P1
43.0%
53.3%
P2
46.2%
50.7%
P3
46.2%
54.3%
OT
25.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.7%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 16, 2015 | OT | 01:31 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:32 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |