Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kellman on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Kellman 48.1% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 50.1%
Defensive zone
Kellman 57.9%
Neutral zone
Kellman 55.0%
Result
Joel Kellman favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Henrique
Kellman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Henrique
Kellman
Last 6: Henrique 2-4 Kellman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kellman
1
3
Henrique
Kellman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Kellman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Kellman
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
46.5% (275)
+4.3%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
75.0% (8)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
50.0% (10)
-3.8%
On power play, Kellman has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kellman shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Kellman is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Henrique
Kellman
Home
52.5% (6,418)
42.5% (146)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
52.4% (147)
By Period
Henrique
Kellman
P1
50.6%
48.0%
P2
51.4%
53.3%
P3
50.2%
41.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Kellman
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Joel Kellman |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Joel Kellman |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Joel Kellman |