Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kellman on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kellman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Kellman 47.9% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kellman 56.1%
Defensive zone
Kellman 79.9%
Neutral zone
Kellman 66.6%
Result
Joel Kellman favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Henrique
Kellman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Henrique
Kellman
Last 6: Henrique 2-4 Kellman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kellman
1
3
Henrique
Kellman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Kellman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Kellman
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
46.6% (223)
+6.9%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
71.4% (7)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
37.5% (8)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kellman shoots left. Henrique is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Henrique shoots left. Kellman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Henrique
Kellman
Home
57.4% (467)
42.9% (126)
Away
52.7% (463)
51.8% (112)
By Period
Henrique
Kellman
P1
55.4%
48.8%
P2
56.7%
53.4%
P3
54.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Kellman
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Joel Kellman |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Joel Kellman |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Joel Kellman |