Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Ward 48.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Ward leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Ward 62.7%
Defensive zone
Ward 65.9%
Neutral zone
Ward 65.7%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Henrique
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Henrique
Ward
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
0
3
Henrique
Ward
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
4
5
Henrique
Ward
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,465)
51.3% (1,186)
-0.6%
Power Play
54.5% (1,760)
53.4% (238)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,794)
35.5% (366)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,611).
Henrique shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Home / Away
Henrique
Ward
Home
52.5% (6,376)
50.3% (870)
Away
48.8% (6,666)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Henrique
Ward
P1
50.6%
47.6%
P2
51.4%
47.5%
P3
50.2%
50.3%
OT
40.6%
30.8%
Final 5 min
50.4%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
50.6%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2017 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 02:03 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 16, 2015 | OT | 04:48 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 2 | 01:58 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Joel Ward |