Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Larsson 49.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 27-24 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 76.7%
Defensive zone
Larsson 59.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 56.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Henrique
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
24
(51 meetings)
27
24
Henrique
Larsson
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
14
5
Henrique
Larsson
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
9
Henrique
Larsson
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
12
10
Henrique
Larsson
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
50.5% (4,382)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
47.7% (153)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
43.8% (714)
+2.4%
On power play, Henrique has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
Henrique
Larsson
Home
52.5% (6,418)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Henrique
Larsson
P1
50.6%
51.6%
P2
51.4%
49.7%
P3
50.2%
47.2%
OT
40.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 4, 2021 | OT | 01:41 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |