Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Henrique wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 45.0% vs Larsson 51.0% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 71.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 52.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 55.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Henrique
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Henrique
Larsson
Last 8: Henrique 3-5 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Henrique
Larsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
4
Henrique
Larsson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (1,023)
51.3% (696)
-6.8%
Power Play
47.4% (173)
56.3% (32)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (185)
41.9% (31)
+1.3%
On power play, Larsson has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Henrique is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Henrique shoots left. Larsson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Home / Away
Henrique
Larsson
Home
46.9% (680)
51.1% (356)
Away
42.5% (701)
51.1% (403)
By Period
Henrique
Larsson
P1
43.0%
54.6%
P2
46.2%
51.9%
P3
46.2%
46.7%
OT
25.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.7%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 07:56 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |