Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 49.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Larsson 49.1% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 61.7%
Defensive zone
Larsson 64.7%
Neutral zone
Henrique 57.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Henrique
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Henrique
Larsson
Last 7: Henrique 5-2 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Larsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Larsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
Larsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (917)
48.9% (501)
-1.2%
Power Play
54.4% (149)
50.0% (6)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (148)
50.0% (26)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Henrique is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Henrique shoots left. Larsson is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Henrique
Larsson
Home
49.9% (567)
51.7% (265)
Away
46.7% (647)
46.3% (268)
By Period
Henrique
Larsson
P1
49.7%
58.8%
P2
45.3%
44.1%
P3
50.6%
44.0%
OT
31.8%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |