Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Henrique wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Larsson 48.8% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 69.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 79.0%
Neutral zone
Larsson 54.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Henrique
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
13
(25 meetings)
12
13
Henrique
Larsson
Last 10: Henrique 3-7 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
9
4
Henrique
Larsson
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
6
Henrique
Larsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Henrique
Larsson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (445)
50.2% (504)
+4.4%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
33.3% (9)
+28.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
41.7% (96)
+10.2%
On power play, Henrique has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Henrique is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Henrique shoots left. Larsson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (440).
Home / Away
Henrique
Larsson
Home
58.1% (310)
48.2% (272)
Away
51.9% (237)
49.0% (337)
By Period
Henrique
Larsson
P1
56.1%
48.6%
P2
53.6%
56.1%
P3
55.7%
41.0%
OT
71.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.4%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2021 | OT | 01:41 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |