Adam Henrique vs Jonathan Marchessault
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchessault on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Marchessault 44.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 82.7%
Defensive zone
Marchessault 63.4%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 71.9%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Henrique
Marchessault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Henrique
Marchessault
Last 5: Henrique 1-4 Marchessault
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
0
2
Henrique
Marchessault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marchessault
1
2
Henrique
Marchessault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (801)
41.8% (546)
+6.0%
Power Play
58.1% (124)
60.3% (58)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (130)
33.3% (3)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Henrique is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Henrique shoots left. Marchessault is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (429).
Home / Away
Henrique
Marchessault
Home
50.0% (506)
42.8% (320)
Away
46.4% (549)
44.3% (287)
By Period
Henrique
Marchessault
P1
47.6%
44.8%
P2
50.1%
45.5%
P3
47.9%
40.6%
OT
23.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 5, 2017 | OT | 03:48 | Defensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |