Scouting Report
Justin Williams holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Williams shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 45.0% vs Williams 51.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Williams 67.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 77.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 58.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Henrique
Williams
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Henrique
Williams
Last 6: Henrique 3-3 Williams
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Williams
0
2
Henrique
Williams
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Williams
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Williams
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Williams
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (1,023)
51.2% (41)
-6.7%
Power Play
47.4% (173)
61.2% (49)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (185)
31.6% (19)
+11.6%
On power play, Williams has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Williams shoots right. Henrique is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Henrique shoots left. Williams is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Henrique
Williams
Home
46.9% (680)
56.0% (50)
Away
42.5% (701)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Henrique
Williams
P1
43.0%
47.2%
P2
46.2%
59.6%
P3
46.2%
50.0%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.7%
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2016 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 14:13 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Justin Williams |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 04:22 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Justin Williams |