Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Kempe 40.7% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 73.8%
Defensive zone
Kempe 76.4%
Neutral zone
Kempe 69.1%
Result
Mario Kempe favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Henrique
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Henrique
Kempe
Last 5: Henrique 1-4 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
0
1
Henrique
Kempe
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
3
Henrique
Kempe
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
38.7% (380)
+12.1%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
33.3% (3)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
31.3% (16)
+14.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Kempe is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Henrique
Kempe
Home
52.5% (6,418)
40.1% (177)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
36.9% (222)
By Period
Henrique
Kempe
P1
50.6%
34.7%
P2
51.4%
40.4%
P3
50.2%
38.8%
OT
40.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 17:25 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 15:28 | Defensive | Mario Kempe |