Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.9% vs Talbot 45.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 51.2%
Defensive zone
Talbot 59.6%
Neutral zone
Talbot 57.2%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Henrique
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Talbot
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
2
Henrique
Talbot
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Talbot
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (816)
45.1% (450)
+2.9%
Power Play
54.8% (62)
50.0% (20)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (127)
40.5% (163)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Henrique is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Henrique shoots left. Talbot is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Henrique
Talbot
Home
51.2% (461)
47.8% (295)
Away
46.9% (565)
41.4% (345)
By Period
Henrique
Talbot
P1
49.5%
47.0%
P2
48.5%
41.5%
P3
49.1%
44.5%
OT
22.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.8%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 15:46 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Max Talbot |