Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 45.0% vs Ribeiro 39.3% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 88.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 57.3%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 67.7%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Henrique
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Henrique
Ribeiro
Last 7: Henrique 2-5 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
Henrique
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Ribeiro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
4
Henrique
Ribeiro
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (1,023)
37.8% (650)
+6.7%
Power Play
47.4% (173)
38.9% (108)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (185)
0.0% (2)
+43.2%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Henrique is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Henrique shoots left. Ribeiro is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Henrique
Ribeiro
Home
46.9% (680)
37.9% (417)
Away
42.5% (701)
37.9% (343)
By Period
Henrique
Ribeiro
P1
43.0%
38.3%
P2
46.2%
38.8%
P3
46.2%
36.4%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
33.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.7%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 06:06 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |