Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (68% H2H, 28 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Koivu 54.0% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 44-35 in 79 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 61.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 60.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 59.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Henrique
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
44
(79 meetings)
35
44
Henrique
Koivu
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
16
8
Henrique
Koivu
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
10
17
Henrique
Koivu
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
9
19
Henrique
Koivu
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
54.0% (9,465)
-3.2%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
58.6% (2,100)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
48.9% (1,688)
-2.7%
On power play, Koivu has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Henrique
Koivu
Home
52.5% (6,418)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Henrique
Koivu
P1
50.6%
53.5%
P2
51.4%
54.6%
P3
50.2%
54.0%
OT
40.6%
56.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 16:03 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 16:53 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 4, 2018 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 4, 2018 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 4, 2018 | 1 | 15:39 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 19:59 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |