Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Thompson 52.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 26-15 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 50.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 82.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 64.4%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Henrique
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
15
(41 meetings)
26
15
Henrique
Thompson
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
15
4
Henrique
Thompson
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
5
7
Henrique
Thompson
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
6
4
Henrique
Thompson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
54.1% (5,812)
-3.3%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
54.8% (135)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
47.9% (1,381)
-1.7%
On even strength, Thompson has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Henrique
Thompson
Home
52.5% (6,418)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Henrique
Thompson
P1
50.6%
53.2%
P2
51.4%
52.9%
P3
50.2%
52.8%
OT
40.6%
47.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 1 | 04:07 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 09:03 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 06:25 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 1 | 16:24 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |