Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 49.1% vs Thompson 51.1% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 50.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 81.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 65.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Henrique
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Henrique
Thompson
Last 7: Henrique 5-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Henrique
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (509)
52.6% (462)
-1.7%
Power Play
46.4% (97)
80.0% (10)
-33.6%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
44.4% (133)
-5.2%
On power play, Thompson has a +33.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Henrique is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (416).
Henrique shoots left. Thompson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Henrique
Thompson
Home
49.4% (326)
52.5% (324)
Away
48.6% (354)
49.8% (281)
By Period
Henrique
Thompson
P1
50.2%
49.0%
P2
53.4%
55.4%
P3
44.2%
48.3%
OT
40.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
45.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |