Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 49.9%). Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Spaling 49.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 61.0%
Defensive zone
Spaling 51.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 51.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Henrique
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Henrique
Spaling
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
2
Henrique
Spaling
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Spaling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
3
Henrique
Spaling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,465)
50.5% (2,263)
+0.2%
Power Play
54.5% (1,760)
43.4% (53)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,794)
48.0% (498)
-1.7%
On power play, Henrique has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,431).
Henrique shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
Henrique
Spaling
Home
52.5% (6,376)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
48.8% (6,666)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Henrique
Spaling
P1
50.6%
49.8%
P2
51.4%
48.3%
P3
50.2%
52.0%
OT
40.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
50.6%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |