Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 44.9% vs Spaling 51.7% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 58.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 54.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 59.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Henrique
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Spaling
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
Spaling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
1
Henrique
Spaling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (656)
56.3% (119)
-12.5%
Power Play
44.7% (152)
40.0% (5)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (110)
44.2% (43)
+3.1%
On even strength, Spaling has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Henrique is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Henrique shoots left. Spaling is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Henrique
Spaling
Home
45.3% (422)
40.0% (45)
Away
43.5% (496)
57.4% (122)
By Period
Henrique
Spaling
P1
44.3%
47.1%
P2
44.1%
52.2%
P3
45.5%
61.4%
OT
26.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.7%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.3%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |