Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Holland 48.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 53.2%
Defensive zone
Holland 55.8%
Neutral zone
Holland 52.9%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Henrique
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Henrique
Holland
Last 9: Henrique 4-5 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Holland
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
1
2
Henrique
Holland
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
1
2
Henrique
Holland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (801)
49.0% (196)
-1.2%
Power Play
58.1% (124)
50.0% (4)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (130)
33.3% (27)
+7.5%
On power play, Henrique has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Henrique is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (681).
Henrique shoots left. Holland is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Henrique
Holland
Home
50.0% (506)
52.1% (94)
Away
46.4% (549)
43.6% (133)
By Period
Henrique
Holland
P1
47.6%
47.6%
P2
50.1%
48.6%
P3
47.9%
45.1%
Final 5 min
45.4%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 12:09 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 15:14 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |