Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 49.1% vs Peverley 56.6% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 74.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 77.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 79.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Henrique
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Henrique
Peverley
Last 9: Henrique 2-7 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
1
Henrique
Peverley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
4
Henrique
Peverley
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
Peverley
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (509)
56.1% (278)
-5.2%
Power Play
46.4% (97)
81.8% (22)
-35.4%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
60.7% (61)
-21.5%
On power play, Peverley has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Henrique is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Henrique shoots left. Peverley is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Henrique
Peverley
Home
49.4% (326)
53.9% (191)
Away
48.6% (354)
63.5% (170)
By Period
Henrique
Peverley
P1
50.2%
60.9%
P2
53.4%
57.9%
P3
44.2%
56.9%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.0%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 02:13 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |