Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 49.1%). Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Nash 49.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 58.2%
Defensive zone
Nash 57.7%
Neutral zone
Nash 50.5%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Henrique
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Henrique
Nash
Last 5: Henrique 3-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Henrique
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (917)
50.9% (481)
-3.2%
Power Play
54.4% (149)
27.3% (11)
+27.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (148)
40.0% (70)
+5.3%
On power play, Henrique has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Henrique is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (444).
Henrique shoots left. Nash is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Henrique
Nash
Home
49.9% (567)
46.5% (282)
Away
46.7% (647)
51.8% (280)
By Period
Henrique
Nash
P1
49.7%
48.5%
P2
45.3%
47.3%
P3
50.6%
51.0%
OT
31.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |