Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Abols on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Abols shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Abols 51.6% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abols 66.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 57.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 55.1%
Result
Rodrigo Abols favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Henrique
Abols
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Abols
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Abols
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Abols
0
3
Henrique
Abols
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Abols
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Abols
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Abols
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
52.2% (293)
+3.9%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
50.0% (4)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
50.0% (6)
+0.8%
On even strength, Henrique has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abols shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Abols is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Henrique
Abols
Home
53.5% (215)
54.7% (150)
Away
55.2% (306)
49.7% (153)
By Period
Henrique
Abols
P1
57.7%
54.4%
P2
53.8%
46.3%
P3
51.6%
56.2%
Final 5 min
48.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |