Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Henrique wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 44.9% vs Kesler 52.5% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 72.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 72.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 76.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Henrique
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Henrique
Kesler
Last 10: Henrique 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
6
Henrique
Kesler
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Henrique
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (656)
53.8% (1,005)
-10.0%
Power Play
44.7% (152)
56.6% (205)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (110)
42.3% (196)
+5.0%
On power play, Kesler has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Henrique is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Henrique shoots left. Kesler is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (982).
Home / Away
Henrique
Kesler
Home
45.3% (422)
54.1% (719)
Away
43.5% (496)
51.1% (687)
By Period
Henrique
Kesler
P1
44.3%
53.1%
P2
44.1%
54.5%
P3
45.5%
50.3%
OT
26.7%
47.4%
Final 5 min
44.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 2 | 14:17 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 10:26 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |