Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 47.7%). Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Gagner 48.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 64.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 65.4%
Neutral zone
Gagner 52.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Henrique
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Gagner
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Henrique
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (801)
47.3% (395)
+0.5%
Power Play
58.1% (124)
50.0% (62)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (130)
50.0% (4)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Henrique is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Henrique shoots left. Gagner is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Henrique
Gagner
Home
50.0% (506)
49.4% (267)
Away
46.4% (549)
45.4% (194)
By Period
Henrique
Gagner
P1
47.6%
47.5%
P2
50.1%
48.5%
P3
47.9%
48.1%
OT
23.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |