Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 44.9% vs Horcoff 50.1% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 67.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 71.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 68.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Henrique
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Henrique
Horcoff
Last 5: Henrique 1-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Henrique
Horcoff
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
2
Henrique
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (656)
52.7% (347)
-8.9%
Power Play
44.7% (152)
40.0% (20)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (110)
36.0% (50)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Henrique is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Henrique shoots left. Horcoff is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Henrique
Horcoff
Home
45.3% (422)
57.0% (165)
Away
43.5% (496)
45.6% (252)
By Period
Henrique
Horcoff
P1
44.3%
46.8%
P2
44.1%
50.6%
P3
45.5%
50.9%
OT
26.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
44.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 08:17 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |