Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 45.0% vs Horcoff 51.0% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 73.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 72.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 73.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Henrique
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Henrique
Horcoff
Last 8: Henrique 2-6 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
2
Henrique
Horcoff
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
3
Henrique
Horcoff
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (1,023)
51.2% (537)
-6.7%
Power Play
47.4% (173)
66.7% (15)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (185)
47.3% (74)
-4.1%
On power play, Horcoff has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Henrique is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Henrique shoots left. Horcoff is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Henrique
Horcoff
Home
46.9% (680)
52.5% (343)
Away
42.5% (701)
49.5% (283)
By Period
Henrique
Horcoff
P1
43.0%
48.2%
P2
46.2%
52.2%
P3
46.2%
52.7%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.7%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |