Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Gionta 48.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 60.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 50.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 53.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Henrique
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Henrique
Gionta
Last 7: Henrique 4-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
Gionta
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
3
Henrique
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Gionta
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (917)
47.7% (86)
+0.0%
Power Play
54.4% (149)
50.0% (2)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (148)
43.8% (32)
+1.5%
On power play, Henrique has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Henrique is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (444).
Henrique shoots left. Gionta is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Henrique
Gionta
Home
49.9% (567)
48.0% (50)
Away
46.7% (647)
45.7% (70)
By Period
Henrique
Gionta
P1
49.7%
55.8%
P2
45.3%
40.5%
P3
50.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |