Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Ott 55.4% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 67.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 57.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 58.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Henrique
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Henrique
Ott
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
3
5
Henrique
Ott
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
7
6
Henrique
Ott
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
1
2
Henrique
Ott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
57.2% (2,802)
-6.4%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
55.4% (567)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
49.9% (853)
-3.7%
On even strength, Ott has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Henrique
Ott
Home
52.5% (6,418)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Henrique
Ott
P1
50.6%
56.7%
P2
51.4%
53.9%
P3
50.2%
55.7%
OT
40.6%
60.8%
Final 5 min
50.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 30, 2013 | OT | 03:51 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 2, 2013 | OT | 04:35 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 12:12 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |