Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.9% vs Ott 55.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 81.0%
Defensive zone
Ott 70.7%
Neutral zone
Ott 76.9%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Henrique
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Henrique
Ott
Last 9: Henrique 6-3 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
1
Henrique
Ott
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
1
2
Henrique
Ott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (816)
56.9% (705)
-8.9%
Power Play
54.8% (62)
55.8% (154)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (127)
48.3% (145)
+2.9%
On even strength, Ott has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Henrique is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Henrique shoots left. Ott is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Henrique
Ott
Home
51.2% (461)
54.9% (526)
Away
46.9% (565)
56.1% (485)
By Period
Henrique
Ott
P1
49.5%
55.4%
P2
48.5%
54.0%
P3
49.1%
56.1%
OT
22.2%
73.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.8%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 12:12 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 08:40 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |