Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 45.0% vs Oshie 51.9% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 79.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 62.7%
Neutral zone
Oshie 61.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Henrique
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Henrique
Oshie
Last 7: Henrique 4-3 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
2
Henrique
Oshie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
1
Henrique
Oshie
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (1,023)
51.4% (35)
-6.9%
Power Play
47.4% (173)
53.5% (170)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (185)
50.9% (57)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Oshie has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Henrique is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Henrique shoots left. Oshie is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Henrique
Oshie
Home
46.9% (680)
59.4% (138)
Away
42.5% (701)
45.2% (124)
By Period
Henrique
Oshie
P1
43.0%
53.4%
P2
46.2%
48.9%
P3
46.2%
55.1%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.7%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 6, 2016 | OT | 04:56 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |