Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.9% vs Johnston 48.1% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Henrique
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Henrique
Johnston
Last 5: Henrique 3-2 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (314)
47.2% (458)
+8.2%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
50.9% (55)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (96)
51.6% (31)
+2.6%
On even strength, Henrique has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Henrique shoots left. Johnston is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Henrique
Johnston
Home
53.2% (173)
47.7% (243)
Away
55.9% (256)
47.8% (301)
By Period
Henrique
Johnston
P1
58.9%
48.0%
P2
54.9%
48.2%
P3
50.0%
48.0%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
54.8%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 4, 2025 | OT | 00:37 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |