Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.6%). Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Smith 50.6% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 25-25 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 61.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 55.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 52.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Henrique
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
25
(50 meetings)
25
25
Henrique
Smith
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
8
8
Henrique
Smith
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
11
6
Henrique
Smith
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
6
11
Henrique
Smith
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
51.6% (5,265)
-0.8%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
51.2% (342)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
45.3% (985)
+0.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Henrique
Smith
Home
52.5% (6,418)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Henrique
Smith
P1
50.6%
49.9%
P2
51.4%
50.0%
P3
50.2%
51.9%
OT
40.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 10:08 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 06:53 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 1 | 05:23 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |