Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.9%). Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.9% vs Smith 49.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 50.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 59.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 56.6%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Henrique
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Henrique
Smith
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
5
Henrique
Smith
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
4
Henrique
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (816)
48.0% (761)
+0.0%
Power Play
54.8% (62)
70.4% (27)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (127)
49.5% (196)
+1.7%
On power play, Smith has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Henrique is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Henrique shoots left. Smith is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Henrique
Smith
Home
51.2% (461)
49.9% (523)
Away
46.9% (565)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Henrique
Smith
P1
49.5%
47.5%
P2
48.5%
50.4%
P3
49.1%
48.4%
OT
22.2%
53.8%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Zack Smith |