Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Vermette 57.1% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 22-10 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 97.0%
Defensive zone
Vermette 80.3%
Neutral zone
Vermette 87.0%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 85.4%
14.6%
85.4%
Lowry
Vermette
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
10
(32 meetings)
22
10
Lowry
Vermette
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Vermette
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Vermette
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
12
3
Lowry
Vermette
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
5
Lowry
Vermette
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Vermette
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
56.9% (7,621)
-4.1%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
59.8% (1,575)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
55.1% (1,217)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vermette shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Vermette is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,658).
Home / Away
Lowry
Vermette
Home
53.5% (5,893)
58.3% (5,008)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
56.1% (5,432)
By Period
Lowry
Vermette
P1
51.5%
56.9%
P2
51.8%
58.4%
P3
51.4%
56.2%
OT
46.3%
55.4%
Final 5 min
52.9%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 12:06 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 2 | 15:00 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 2 | 06:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |