Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 46.7% vs Vermette 55.4% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 96.6%
Defensive zone
Vermette 71.7%
Neutral zone
Vermette 92.2%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 84.5%
15.5%
84.5%
Lowry
Vermette
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Lowry
Vermette
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Vermette
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Vermette
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Vermette
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Vermette
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Vermette
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (666)
54.1% (1,001)
-7.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
62.9% (256)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (172)
54.3% (94)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vermette shoots left. Lowry is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Lowry shoots left. Vermette is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Lowry
Vermette
Home
49.9% (393)
55.9% (690)
Away
43.1% (452)
55.7% (661)
By Period
Lowry
Vermette
P1
45.1%
51.8%
P2
44.8%
55.0%
P3
49.1%
60.3%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
46.3%
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 1 | 14:35 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 02:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |