Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Vermette 61.3% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 94.2%
Defensive zone
Vermette 80.3%
Neutral zone
Vermette 85.9%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 83.4%
16.6%
83.4%
Lowry
Vermette
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Lowry
Vermette
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Vermette
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
0
Lowry
Vermette
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Lowry
Vermette
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Vermette
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
62.4% (880)
-11.0%
Power Play
54.1% (85)
63.0% (135)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
61.1% (180)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vermette shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Lowry shoots left. Vermette is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Lowry
Vermette
Home
52.9% (680)
63.4% (585)
Away
48.5% (615)
61.1% (610)
By Period
Lowry
Vermette
P1
51.5%
62.5%
P2
51.5%
63.4%
P3
49.3%
60.9%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
62.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 2 | 15:00 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 2 | 06:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |